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Understanding the impact of Cotton Subsidies on developing countries

Ongoing

Researchers: Ian Gillson and Sheila Page with Colin Poulton and Kevin Balcombe

Models developed to investigate the impact of cotton subsidies tend to generate results that
support the contention that US subsidies, by virtue of their absolute magnitude, are particularly
damaging and are responsible for most of the reduction in cotton earning potential in West and
Central African countries and that the impacts of current EU cotton support are relatively small.

Research conducted by ODI and Imperial College challenges a number of critical assumptions
upon which contemporary models are based and in doing so, demonstrates that EU cotton
subsidies may have a disproportionate and significant impact on developing country cotton
production, particularly on those of its traditional trading partners, which include West African
countries

The research addresses two fundamental assumptions:

i. That the structure of the international cotton market is unitary, in that importers source cotton
purely on the basis of price; and
ii. The elasticity of supply characterising production and consumption decisions in each trading
country is constant

To access the report, please click on the links below.

Main Report

Appendix

An ODI Briefing Paper has also been published.

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