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Lunchtime Meeting Series - January / March
2006 organised jointly by ODI and the All Party Parliamentary Group
on Overseas Development
Will
Emerging Donors Change the Face of International Cooperation?
Thursday 9th March, 1.00-2.15pm, Boothroyd Room, Portcullis House:
Speaker: Richard Manning, Chair, Development Assistance
Committee, OECD
Discussant: Andrew Lawson, ODI Research Fellow
Chair: John Battle MP, Chair, APGOOD
Richard Manning's
Power Point presention
Richard Manning's Full Speech
Andrew Lawsons
Power Point Graph
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You'll need Windows
Media Player to listen to these clips. You can download the correct
version here
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1. The fourth meeting in the ODI/APGOOD 'What's
next in international development?' series was held on Thursday
9th March. Richard Manning, Chair of the Development Assistance
Committee (DAC) of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation
& Development (OECD) spoke on, 'Will 'Emerging Donors' Change
the Face of International Cooperation?' Andrew Lawson, Research
Fellow at ODI, acted as discussant & the meeting was chaired
by the Rt Hon John Battle MP, Chair of APGOOD.
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2. Richard Manning's Powerpoint presentation & his full
speech can be found through the links above. The graph shown
by Andrew Lawson, can also be found through the above link.
3. Richard Manning began by stating that his presentation
would seek to answer two questions:
a. Are there new donors in the international aid system?
b. Are there any standards to which they adhere in terms of
providing aid to developing countries?
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4. In addressing these two questions, he stated that he would
divide donors into 3 groups:
a. The 'Western' countries
b. The countries of Eastern Europe & the former Soviet
republic
c. The new 'emerging donors'
5. In the 1960s, DAC countries did not have a monopoly in
terms of giving aid. In 1978 & into the 1980s, Arab &
OPEC countries contributed 30% of all aid, but as the price
of oil declined, these countries started to give less. Furthermore,
in the post-Cold War period, Eastern European countries' contributions
also declined, so that by the mid-1990s, DAC countries came
to dominate what had become a much smaller aid 'cake.'
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6. Manning described 4 groups of countries additional
to the DAC who also contribute to aid:
a. Non-DAC OECD members, e.g. Korea, Turkey, Iceland, &
the Eastern European countries through their EU commitments.
b. Non-OECD EU states with small economies.
Manning stated that the DAC standards with regard to aid are
a key point of reference for both of these groups, together
with the Paris Declaration of 2005 on Aid Harmonisation &
Alignment. Although, they will of course have their own approaches
& interests.
c. OPEC & Arab states - at the moment they give 4% of all
ODA, but in a much more harmonised way. All their aid is untied,
however it is often given in the form of loans and/or on a project
basis. Any future increase in aid given by this group however
could be significant. |
d. Countries that don't fall into any of the above
groups - this is a disparate group which includes: South Africa,
Russia, Brazil, Thailand, Malaysia, India & China. This
group is described as the 'emerging donors' & are often
both donors & recipients of aid. India & China have
both followed a logical pattern in terms of the amount of multilateral
aid given to them, which has declined in recent years. However,
bilateral aid to China has increased & that to India has
decreased in recent years.
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7. A study will be published next week on the
impact of ODA on African producers. China's policy on aid to
Africa is based on reciprocity. India tends to borrow money
to lend to African countries, the value of which is tied to
procurement, even though India itself doesn't accept tied aid.
8. In 2004, DAC countries gave $80bn in aid. This will rise
in 2010 to $130bn. This is a massive increase & the DAC
will remain the largest source of ODA for a long time to come.
9. The DAC consists of a very diverse group of countries, within
which consensus is achieved only slowly. Agreed guiding principles,
however, are that aid has to:
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a. Be official
b. Promote economic development
c. Have concessional terms
d. Should be untied
e. Good practice should be used by all donors
Many of these points were captured in the Paris Declaration
of last year.
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10. What are the implications of this proliferation of donors?
a. Middle Income Countries (MICs) are no longer dependent on
the International Financial Institutions (IFIs)
b. Each of the main banks are paid back more than they are contributing
c. There is more choice & more freedom for aid recipients
& the arrival of new donors will provide even more freedom
for manoeuvring
d. Many HIPC countries have had their debts scaled down considerably
11. There are, however, risks:
a. Countries might make the same mistakes that they made before
b. Non-DAC donors may bankroll smaller countries
12. To help avoid these, the DAC needs to share its experience
& treat other, new donors positively. It started this process
of engagement in February this year, aided by:
a. All countries are now signed up to achieving the MDGs by
2015
b. Triangular cooperation, including technical assistance is
now advocated
c. Multilateral finance
d. Policy coherence between trade, investment, migration, etc
is as important as aid
e. G8 meeting in Moscow will help to cement these principles
f. The new ECOSOC development cooperation forum to 2007 will
act as the UN window to this process & the natural way for
the DAC to engage with other donors
13. Andrew Lawson, Research Fellow at ODI was then invited
by the Chair to make his points.
14. He started by stating that the DAC has instituted only
modest measures aimed at improving aid quality. In Madrid
a couple of weeks ago, there was a great desire amongst donors
to comply with DAC standards, which are seen as an important
benchmark in how aid is provided. The DAC should be more aware
of this but should also be challenged to do more.
15. In referring to 'Aid as a Market' by Klein & Harford,
Lawson stated that a common assumption is that aid is given
for free & that it is scarce. However, neither of these
are true. There are often high transaction costs associated
with aid & many countries have too much & want better
not just more aid. Does the aid 'market' allow them to do
this? No - there are barriers to exiting the market on these
grounds. E.g. 60-70 development agencies are active in Tanzania,
but does this represent choice for the 'consumer'? No - aid
is tied to diplomatic & trade relations. The consequences
& costs to Tanzania of rejecting aid would be too great
to bear, so instead she has to take bits of aid from all donors.
There are therefore major problems making the 'aid market'
work to the benefit of aid recipients.
16. Possible solutions to this would involve an examination
of the following questions:
a. If aid was untied, this would remove assumed linkages &
act to separate markets. This raises the question of what
more could the DAC could do to regulate the market?
b. If we were all investors, with the freedom to move our
money around as we chose, what choices would we make? We would
look at the nature of the industry, specifically the peaks
of profitability which occur at different levels of concentration
of aid (see graph via link above), & put our money where
the profits peak. Why don't donors do this? There are market-related
reasons which act as barriers to entry for donors, such as
cartels, oligarchies, & the structure of regulation.
c. Is aid is large-scale? For instance, is the World Bank
inherently better than smaller scale donors? Should the EU
set up its own development agency?
d. What affects aid - what are the inherent features of aid
which are affected by factors such as regulation?
e. How can we measure the effectiveness of aid? What would
we put on the Y axis? Customer satisfaction? The DAC does
have experience of this.
Only by answering these questions, can we hope to improve
aid.
17. John Battle thanked both speakers for their contributions,
stating that a new space had been opened up, in terms of thinking
about aid & took 4 questions/comments from the floor:
a. Aid in India had been filtered from the cattle market -
a novel approach.
b. We should welcome emerging donors even though their standards
might be slightly different to ours - the place for setting
these standards is in Paris. Or else, is it a problem of governments,
in which case, could the DAC be organised differently?
c. There are 40-50 fragile states - the thinking in the DAC
is to change the nature of the aid therein. Should this be
a state-owned enterprise, with guidelines, etc?
d. There are issues around recipients & governance - e.g.
transaction costs in India are the reason that bilateral aid
levels have been diminishing. Aid is only 1% of the budget
whereas in Tanzania it is 60-70%. Also, the question of standards
should be extended to include gender - aid should be gender-equitable.
18. In answering these queries, Richard Manning stated that:
a. Peer review could be offered to new EU member states too.
This would be interesting but it has not been implemented
yet. The DAC has also done much work on applying OECD standards
with Brazil, Korea, etc as they get more serious about DAC
membership.
b. The DAC is too diverse to be a cartel. The harmonisation
agenda can be intimidating for some small countries.
c. Client satisfaction can be monitored via the Paris Declaration.
This is not just questionnaires, but a whole process involving
the relationship between countries & donors.
d. Countries are learning to say no to donors. This is very
important otherwise a dependency mentality develops, but they
do need confidence to do this.
e. In terms of welcoming the emerging donors, this is a two-way
process & methods need to be found by which they can make
their own contributions to the debate. The ECOSOC development
cooperation forum will help with this.
f. DAC is ultimately connected to the OECD which is now run
by a Mexican (Mexico is not a DAC member), so it will be interesting
to see what new directions the organisation takes as a result.
g. On fragile states, the MDGs are very good objectives, but
they need to be achieved in a secure environment.
h. Some non-OECD states, such as Argentina, Chile, etc have
accepted the DAC guidelines & also use them as a channel
for complaints about MDBs.
i. High standards in areas like gender & the environment
are just as important as areas such as governance, etc.
19. Andrew Lawson reinforced his point that many recipients
still do not have the option to say no. In India, there is
a shortlist of donors but aid is indeed a very small percentage
of the budget. This is not a question of culture, it depends
on diplomacy, trade, etc & most countries decide it is
best not to jeopardise these factors so instead they get harmonisation,
i.e. 20 donors on a list.
20. It is not a good idea to threaten to decrease aid in relation
to human rights abuses - there is room for more effective
use of aid, & these issues should be separate.
21. Further points raised by the audience at the end of the
meeting included:
a. This is not a new aid agenda - new donors will move into
countries & provide aid that's less transparent in order
to sustain regimes. These are politically inspired motives.
b. Describing aid as a 'market' assumes that the market is
a natural creation when in fact it is a human creation embedded
in social factors.
22. John Battle thanked the speakers & the audience for
their contributions.
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