| Evidence and
UK politics
Vincent Cable outlined 5 's's that limit the ability of decision
makers to pursue an evidence-based approach: speed, superficiality,
spin, secrecy and scientific ignorance.
Speed: Policy makers are under severe time pressure and
are forced to process information quickly. This requires improvisation
and decision-making without all the necessary information. Occasionally,
this leads to bad decisions.
Superficiality: Each policy maker has to cover vast thematic
fields, and cannot possibly have in depth knowledge about every
issue in those areas. They are therefore heavily dependent on the
knowledge and integrity of the people who inform them. This raises
difficult questions about who policy makers should turn to for advice,
and how they can judge the advice given, especially taking into
account the differing agendas of different groups.
Spin: In the political world, perception is very important.
For example, even though evidence has shown that beat policing is
not the most cost effective way of using police resources, this
form of policing is still prioritised because there is a strong
public perception that it will improve security. The same evidence
can be shown in many different ways and therefore the reality is
that perception guides political decisions.
Secrecy: Vincent also raised the question of how to relate
to evidence that is secret. A recent example is Blair's memorandum
on weapons of mass destruction in Iraq, which formed the basis of
political decisions.
Scientific ignorance: The public are increasingly suspicious
of scientists and scientific evidence and this will have an effect
on policies. One example of this is the public demand for zero rail
accidents while road accidents are tolerated. This means that political
decisions are made to invest far more in rail safety than in road
safety. The public will not always respond rationally to scientific
evidence.
Despite the challenges that these five 's's present, Vincent concluded
by pointing to positive examples where evidence has indeed informed
policy. He also stated that research is having an increasing role
to play in decision-making processes, and this trend is likely to
continue.
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